Summary
Full summaryExecutive Assessment
NVIDIA's FY2026 revenue reached $215.9B, up 65% YoY, driven by Data Center demand for Blackwell architecture, while gross margin contracted 3.9 pts to 71.1% due to product transition and a $4.5B H20 charge.
- Revenue increased 65% to $215.9B, with Compute & Networking segment up 67% to $193.5B, driven by accelerated computing and AI platform shifts.
- Gross margin declined to 71.1% from 75.0%, impacted by transition from Hopper HGX to Blackwell full-scale datacenter solutions and a $4.5B charge for H20 excess inventory and purchase obligations.
- Diluted EPS rose 67% to $4.90, supported by net income growth and share repurchases; operating cash flow reached $102.7B, up 60%.
- Management disclosed a $4.5B charge related to H20 export license requirements for China, and noted supply constraints expected to be a headwind for Gaming in Q1 FY2027.
Financial Highlights
| Metric | Current Period | Prior Period | Change | Investor Takeaway |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | $215.9B | $130.5B | +65.4% | Growth driven by Data Center compute and networking platforms for accelerated computing and AI solutions, with Blackwell architectures representing the majority of Data Center revenue. |
Gross Margin | 71.1% | 75.0% | −3.9 ppts | Decrease due to business model transition from Hopper HGX systems to Blackwell full-scale datacenter solutions and a $4.5B charge for H20 excess inventory and purchase obligations. |
Operating Income | $130.4B | $81.5B | +60.0% | Operating margin decreased to 60.4% from 62.4%, as operating expenses grew 41% to $23.1B, driven by higher compensation and compute infrastructure costs. |
Net Income | $120.1B | $72.9B | +64.8% | Net margin remained relatively stable at 55.6% vs. 55.8%, with effective tax rate increasing to 15.1% from 13.3%. |
Diluted EPS | $4.9 | $2.9 | +66.7% | EPS growth slightly outpaced net income growth due to share repurchases reducing weighted average diluted shares to 24.5B from 24.8B. |
Operating Cash Flow | $102.7B | $64.1B | +60.2% | Increase primarily due to higher revenue. |
Free Cash Flow | $96.7B | $60.9B | +58.8% | Capital expenditures increased to $6.0B from $3.2B, with management expecting further increase in FY2027 to support business growth. |
Profitability
- Gross margin contracted 3.9 pts to 71.1%, with inventory provisions and excess purchase obligation charges totaling $7.2B (including $4.5B H20 charge) vs. $3.7B in prior year; net unfavorable impact on gross margin was 2.6% vs. 2.3%.
- Operating expenses rose 41% to $23.1B, with R&D up 43% to $18.5B (driven by 29% increase in compensation and 79% increase in compute/infrastructure costs) and SG&A up 31% to $4.6B.
- Other income, net surged to $9.0B from $1.0B, primarily due to unrealized gains on non-marketable and publicly-held equity securities, including gains from investment in Intel common stock.
Cash flow
- Operating cash flow of $102.7B, up 60%, driven by higher revenue, partially offset by working capital changes including $15.4B increase in accounts receivable and $11.3B increase in inventories.
- Investing cash outflow of $52.2B vs. $20.4B, primarily due to higher purchases of equity investment securities ($17.5B in private companies and infrastructure funds) and $13.0B payment for Groq license agreement.
- Financing cash outflow of $48.5B vs. $42.4B, mainly due to higher share repurchases ($40.4B vs. $34.0B) and dividends ($974M vs. $834M).
Balance sheet
- Total assets increased to $206.8B from $111.6B, with current assets of $125.6B including $62.6B in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities.
- Working capital rose to $93.4B from $62.1B, with current ratio declining to 3.91x from 4.44x due to faster growth in current liabilities (up 78% to $32.2B) than current assets (up 57%).
- Long-term debt decreased to $7.5B from $8.5B; shareholders' equity nearly doubled to $157.3B from $79.3B, driven by net income and partially offset by share repurchases.
Investment Risks & Concerns
Risk Factor
Export controls and licensing requirements for China-bound products have materially impacted operations, with a $4.5B charge for H20 excess inventory and purchase obligations in Q1 FY2026, and uncertainty around future licenses.
Risk Factor
Customer concentration risk is significant, with one direct customer representing 22% of total revenue and another 14% in FY2026; indirect customer concentration also noted, with one AI research and deployment company contributing a meaningful amount of revenue via cloud services.
Risk Factor
Supply chain and manufacturing concentration in Asia, with expansion into U.S. and Latin America underway, but ability to ramp production timely is uncertain; long manufacturing lead times and complex product transitions create supply-demand mismatch risks.
Risk Factor
Competition from customers developing in-house solutions, open-source AI models deployed on competitors' platforms, and other chipmakers could reduce demand for NVIDIA products.
Risk Factor
Macroeconomic factors including tariffs, inflation, and geopolitical tensions could impact supply chain costs, demand, and the value of investments; a 25% tariff on H200 imports under new licensing program is explicitly noted.
Management Strategy & Execution
Themes
- Transition to Blackwell architecture as primary revenue driver, with Data Center computing revenue up 59% and networking up 142%.
- Gross margin pressure from product mix shift to full-scale datacenter solutions and H20-related charges, with inventory provisions expected to remain elevated.
- Significant increase in ecosystem investments, including $17.5B in private companies and infrastructure funds, and a $13B non-exclusive license agreement with Groq.
- Capital return program expanded with $60B additional share repurchase authorization; $40.4B repurchased in FY2026.
Capital allocation
- Share repurchases: $40.4B (282M shares) in FY2026; additional $60B authorization approved in August 2025; $58.5B remaining as of Jan 25, 2026.
- Dividends: $974M paid in FY2026 ($0.04 per share), up from $834M in FY2025.
- Investments: $17.5B in private companies and infrastructure funds; $13.0B payment for Groq non-exclusive license agreement; $6.0B in capital expenditures, with expected increase in FY2027.
- Commercial paper program increased to $25.0B capacity; no outstanding borrowings as of Jan 25, 2026.
“Revenue growth in fiscal year 2026 was driven by data center compute and networking platforms for accelerated computing and AI solutions. Our Blackwell architectures represented the majority of our Data Center revenue.”
— Management (MD&A)
“Gross margins decreased to 71.1% in fiscal year 2026 from 75.0% in fiscal year 2025 as our business model transitioned from offering Hopper HGX systems to Blackwell full-scale datacenter solutions and a $4.5 billion charge associated with H20 excess inventory and purchase obligations.”
— Management (MD&A)
Business Segment Analysis
| Segment | Revenue | Change | Commentary |
|---|---|---|---|
| Compute & Networking | $193.5B | Up 67% | Driven by Data Center computing (up 59%) on Blackwell demand, and networking (up 142%) on NVLink compute fabric ramp and growth of Ethernet/InfiniBand. Operating income up 57% to $130.1B, partially offset by $4.5B H20 charge. |
| Graphics | $22.5B | Up 57% | Driven by sales of Blackwell architecture. Operating income up 80% to $9.2B. Gaming revenue up 41%, Professional Visualization up 70%, Automotive up 39%. |
Liquidity & Capital Structure
Leverage: Total debt of $8.5B (net carrying amount) with $7.5B long-term; debt-to-equity ratio of 0.05x, down from 0.11x in prior year due to equity growth. No financial covenants on outstanding notes.
Liquidity: $62.6B in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities as of Jan 25, 2026. Operating cash flow of $102.7B provides ample liquidity. Commercial paper program of up to $25.0B available but undrawn.
Shareholder returns
- Repurchased 282M shares for $40.4B in FY2026; $58.5B remaining authorization.
- Paid $974M in dividends ($0.04/share) in FY2026.
- Post-period: repurchased 8M shares for $1.5B through Feb 20, 2026.
Forward Outlook & Investment Implications
cautiousManagement expects supply constraints to be a headwind to Gaming in Q1 FY2027 and beyond. Capital expenditures expected to increase in FY2027 relative to FY2026 to support future growth. Finalizing investment and partnership agreement with OpenAI, but no assurance of completion.
Drivers
- Continued ramp of Blackwell architecture and new product introductions on one-year cadence, including Rubin platform.
- Expansion of U.S. and Latin America manufacturing to strengthen supply chain resiliency.
- Growing demand for AI infrastructure, but dependent on customer access to data centers, energy, and capital.
Watch items
- Potential impact of export controls and licensing requirements on China revenue; H200 shipments subject to 25% tariff.
- Gross margin trajectory as product mix shifts to full-scale datacenter solutions and inventory provisions remain elevated.
- Execution risks around complex product transitions and supply-demand matching given long lead times.
Notable Footnotes
| Item | Impact |
|---|---|
| Groq License Agreement | Non-exclusive license for language processing unit technology; $13.0B paid at closing, $4B payable within one year. Recorded $14.4B goodwill and $2.5B intangible asset. Goodwill tax deductible. |
| Inventory Provisions and Purchase Obligations | Total provisions of $7.2B in FY2026 (including $4.5B H20 charge) vs. $3.7B in FY2025. Outstanding inventory purchase and long-term supply/capacity obligations of $95.2B as of Jan 25, 2026. |
| Income Taxes – OBBBA and Valuation Allowance Release | Enactment of One Big Beautiful Bill Act in July 2025; tax effects recognized in FY2026. Released $711M valuation allowance on state deferred tax assets due to improved profitability outlook. |
| Customer Concentration | One direct customer at 22% of revenue, another at 14%. Indirect customer concentration also significant, with one AI research company contributing meaningfully via cloud service purchases. |
3-Year Investment Perspective
Revenue grew from $60.9B in FY2024 to $130.5B in FY2025 and $215.9B in FY2026, a compound annual growth rate of approximately 88%. Net income increased from $29.8B to $120.1B over the same period. Gross margin peaked at 75.0% in FY2025 before declining to 71.1% in FY2026. Operating cash flow more than tripled from $28.1B to $102.7B.
Inflections
- FY2025 marked a sharp acceleration with revenue more than doubling, driven by Data Center AI demand; FY2026 growth remained strong at 65% but decelerated from prior year's 114%.
- Gross margin trajectory reversed in FY2026, falling 3.9 pts as product mix shifted to lower-margin full-scale systems and H20 charge impacted.
- Share repurchases ramped significantly: $9.7B in FY2024, $34.0B in FY2025, $40.4B in FY2026, reducing diluted share count from 24.9B to 24.5B.
Prior-period comparison
- FY2024 revenue of $60.9B with net income of $29.8B; Data Center revenue was $47.5B, Gaming $10.4B.
- FY2024 gross margin was 72.7%, operating margin 54.1%, and diluted EPS $1.19.
- FY2024 operating cash flow was $28.1B, with capex of $1.1B, resulting in free cash flow of $27.0B.
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