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Tesla, Inc.

TSLA
10-KFiled:January 29, 2024

Summary

Full summary

The Print

Tesla's FY2023 revenue rose 18.8% to $96.8B while net income attributable to common stockholders increased 19.4% to $15.0B, but gross margin contracted to 18.2% from 25.6% as average selling prices declined.

Revenue increased 18.8% to $96.8B, which management attributes to an increase of 473,382 combined Model 3 and Model Y cash deliveries from production ramping of Model Y globally, partially offset by a lower average selling price on vehicles driven by overall price reductions year over year, sales mix, and a negative impact from the United States dollar strengthening against other foreign currencies. Gross margin contracted to 18.2% from 25.6%, which management attributes primarily to a lower average selling price on vehicles partially offset by the favorable change in average combined cost per unit and IRA manufacturing credits earned. Net income attributable to common stockholders increased 19.4% to $15.0B, which management attributes primarily to the release of $6.54 billion of valuation allowance associated with U.S. federal and certain state deferred tax assets.

  • Total revenue increased 18.8% to $96.8B, driven by automotive sales growth of 17% and energy generation and storage revenue growth of 54%.
  • Net income attributable to common stockholders rose 19.4% to $15.0B, aided by a $5.0B income tax benefit from a $6.54B valuation allowance release.
  • Diluted EPS increased 18.8% to $4.30, while gross margin fell 7.4 percentage points to 18.2% on lower average selling prices.
  • Operating cash flow declined 10.0% to $13.3B and free cash flow fell to $4.4B from $7.6B as capital expenditures rose to $8.9B.

Results That Matter

  • Total revenues
    Current period
    $96.8B
    Prior period
    $81.5B
    Change
    +18.8%
    Revenue increased 18.8% YoY, which management attributes to an increase of 473,382 combined Model 3 and Model Y cash deliveries from production ramping of Model Y globally, partially offset by a lower average selling price on vehicles.
  • Gross profit
    Current period
    $17.7B
    Prior period
    $20.9B
    Change
    −15.3%
    Gross profit declined 15.3% YoY as total gross margin contracted to 18.2% from 25.6%, which management attributes primarily to a lower average selling price on vehicles partially offset by the favorable change in average combined cost per unit and IRA manufacturing credits earned.
  • Income from operations
    Current period
    $8.9B
    Prior period
    $13.7B
    Change
    −34.9%
    Operating income declined 34.9% YoY, reflecting the gross profit decline and a 29% increase in research and development expenses, which management attributes primarily to additional costs in the current year related to the pre-production phase for Cybertruck, AI and other programs.
  • Net income attributable to common stockholders
    Current period
    $15.0B
    Prior period
    $12.6B
    Change
    —
    Net income attributable to common stockholders increased 19.4% YoY, which management attributes primarily to the release of $6.54 billion of valuation allowance associated with U.S. federal and certain state deferred tax assets.
  • Diluted EPS
    Current period
    $4.3
    Prior period
    $3.6
    Change
    +18.8%
    Diluted EPS increased 18.8% YoY, in line with the increase in net income attributable to common stockholders, with diluted weighted average shares rising to 3,485 million from 3,475 million.

Earnings Quality & Cash Conversion

Net income of $14,974M includes a $(5,001)M benefit from income taxes, which management attributes primarily to the release of $6.54 billion of valuation allowance associated with U.S. federal and certain state deferred tax assets. Income from operations was $8,891M, down from $13,656M, and restructuring and other was $0M in 2023 compared to $176M in 2022, which included a $204M impairment loss on digital assets and $64M of realized gains from converting digital assets into fiat currency.

Red flag

Gross margin contracted 7.4 percentage points to 18.2% while revenue grew 18.8%, indicating pricing pressure outpaced cost reductions.

Red flag

Net income growth of 19.4% was aided by a $5.0B income tax benefit from a valuation allowance release, while operating income declined 34.9%.

Value Drivers & Capital Allocation

Capital expenditures $8.9B (prior $7.2B) (selected cash-flow amount, not necessarily total capital investment).

Return on equity was 23.9% (prior 28.1%) (period net income / period-end equity, not annualized); return on assets 14.1% (prior 15.2%) (period net income / period-end assets, not annualized).

Forward Signals

Tesla stated it currently expects capital expenditures to support its projects globally to exceed $10.00 billion in 2024 and be between $8.00 to $10.00 billion in each of the following two fiscal years. No revenue or earnings guidance was provided.

Known trends

  • We expect to continue to generate net positive operating cash flow as we have done in the last five fiscal years.
  • Starting in 2024, Gigafactory Shanghai is subject to 25% statutory corporate income tax rate in China.
  • We continue to maintain a full valuation allowance against our California deferred tax assets as of December 31, 2023, because we concluded they are not more likely than not to be realized as we expect our California deferred tax assets generation in future years to exceed our ability to use these deferred tax assets.

Subsequent events

  • Not disclosed—no material subsequent events were identified in the provided filing excerpts.

Risks

2 source-verified filing excerpts. 2 items withheld because the evidence could not be matched. Selected excerpts are not a complete risk inventory.

Filing excerpt 1

EvidenceWe are highly dependent on the services of Elon Musk, Technoking of Tesla and our Chief Executive Officer. Although Mr. Musk spends significant time with Tesla and is highly active in our management, he does not devote his full time and attention to Tesla.

Filing excerpt 2

EvidenceOur current and future warranty reserves may be insufficient to cover future warranty claims.

Segments

SegmentRevenueOperating IncomeRevenue ChangeCommentary
Automotive segment$90.7B+17.0%Automotive sales revenue increased 17% primarily due to an increase of 473,382 combined Model 3 and Model Y cash deliveries from production ramping of Model Y globally, partially offset by a lower average selling price on vehicles driven by overall price reductions year over year, sales mix, and a negative impact from the United States dollar strengthening against other foreign currencies.
Energy generation and storage segment$6.0B+54.4%Energy generation and storage revenue increased 54% primarily due to an increase in deployments of Megapack, and gross margin increased driven by an improvement in Megapack gross margin from lower average cost per MWh and a higher proportion of Megapack within the segment.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Leverage: Identified debt as of 2023-12-31: reported debt balance of unestablished maturity scope of $2.7B. The concept behind this balance does not establish which maturities it covers. Total debt, net debt and debt-to-equity are therefore not stated.

Liquidity: Tesla had $16.40 billion of cash and cash equivalents and $12.70 billion of short-term investments as of December 31, 2023, and $5.03 billion of unused committed credit amounts. Management stated it believes current sources of funds will provide adequate liquidity during the 12-month period following December 31, 2023, as well as in the long-term.

Cash flow: Cash flow — operating $13.3B, investing $-15.6B, financing $2.6B.

Working capital: Current assets $49.6B vs. current liabilities $28.7B (current ratio 1.73x). Prior reported balance sheet as of 2022-12-31: $40.9B vs. $26.7B (1.53x).

Maturities & covenants

  • As of December 31, 2023, we and our subsidiaries had outstanding $4.68 billion in aggregate principal amount of indebtedness, of which $1.98 billion is scheduled to become due in the succeeding 12 months.
  • As of December 31, 2023, we were in material compliance with all financial debt covenants.

Notable Footnotes

ItemImpact
Income Taxes - Valuation Allowance ReleaseTesla released $6.54 billion of its valuation allowance associated with U.S. federal and state deferred tax assets, with the exception of California deferred tax assets, resulting in a $(5,001)M benefit from income taxes for the year ended December 31, 2023.
Debt - Automotive Asset-backed NotesTesla issued $3.93 billion in aggregate principal amount of Automotive Asset-backed Notes in 2023, with proceeds net of debt issuance costs of $3.92 billion, contributing to the increase in total debt.
Inventory Write-downsTesla recorded inventory write-downs of $233 million, $144 million and $106 million for the years ended December 31, 2023, 2022 and 2021, respectively, in Cost of revenues.
Commitments - Gigafactory New YorkTesla is obligated to spend or incur $5.00 billion in combined capital, operational expenses, costs of goods sold and other costs in the State of New York through December 31, 2029, and failure to meet requirements could result in a $41 million program payment per year.

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AI-generated. Informational only, not investment advice. May be incomplete or contain errors. The authoritative source is always the original SEC filing.